Harvey forecasting accuracy

Ars Technica article discussing how the various forecast models performed, once again the European model was the winner.

Wonder how it’s doing for Irma. . .

The Euro model (red line) in figures 4 and 5 currently have Irma going up the west side of Florida.

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/category-5-irma-5th-strongest-atlantic-hurricane-record

It’s going to be a nasty one for the islands :frowning:

A couple of articles that address that question:

Yesterday - [url=Here’s what the world’s most accurate weather model predicts for Irma | Ars Technica]Here

For anyone that has interests in Florida, these links might be of help.

http://www.floridadisaster.org/index.asp
http://www.floridadisaster.org/info/

According to CNN this morning the ecmwf has forecast Irma’s track better than gfs so far.

BBC/UK Met Office are showing Irma closer to Cuba than expected but now expecting it to turn north, pick up a bit more energy over the sea and run up the west side of Florida, not off the west coast as initially forecast. This means it should weaken faster. . . not a lot of consolation for those already affected or those about to be :frowning: