Gonna be interesting tomorrow

HI folks

Looks like theres gonna be a storm brewing down the west side of the UK tomorrow
It looks like most of the UK will get some of it but the worst will be down the West side

http://212.100.247.145/gfsimages/gfs.20090116/06/39/ukprec.png

http://212.100.247.145/gfsimages/gfs.20090116/06/39/ukwind.png

http://212.100.247.145/gfsimages/gfs.20090116/06/39/airpressure.png

The UKMO is forecasting winds of 80 - 90mph on Saturday night for us up here and looking at the current GFS run then we’re going to be right in the teeth of it between midnight & 03:00 Sunday.
My WXsim run at 04:00 this morning was looking like this:

[quote]Dense overcast. Rain. Some thunderstorms likely. Low 5

Good man, it does certainly look like your side is gonna get hit pretty bad.
There was a warning on the radio a few minutes ago as well, We also have a
snow warning for Monday, with significant accumulations :smiley:

I too have checked the Mast guy lines and tightened them a little just in case
the mast is a tad out of shap further up now but as long as its tight, although
i dont think we will see wind speeds as high as you, perhaps gusting to the late 40’s

Theres also a copy of Mondays warning for Tuesday, nothing for Wednesday yet
but i think we will see some snow on Wednesday to, heres hoping :slight_smile:

Down side is i wont be able to drive in it, I only got a cruddy S reg Escort and there
pants in the wet let alone ice and or snow :frowning:

I drive an 03 plate Discovery, they’re great in the ice & snow but try stopping them!! :lol:

Oh yeah, i can imagine, i certainly needed one the other day, the road from Desborough
to Corby was total slippage lol, its was icy all the way, i couldnt do no more than 20mph
and i saw no end of folks going too quick and nearly loosing it, 2 peeps did loose it, 1
skimmed the grass verge and the other (more interesting) couldnt stop at the end of
a road in Corby, there was a 4 ft grass bank, he climbed up on to the bank and the rear of the car lifted about 5ft (being conservative here) in the air (like an endo on a bike) and it stopped dead the underside of the car was rocking on the mound as the
wheels werent touching, i was a 50 meters away slowly driving towards him when i
see it happen, it was cool :slight_smile:

My midday WXsim run has dropped the expected gusts to only 44 knots so I don’t if the centre of the low is heading a bit closer to us than prevoius predictions?
I’ll see what the 20:00 run says. :wink:

Had to get up on the roof this evening and remove a broken slate, it went last weekend but I though I’d better take it down as I don’t want it flying around over this weekend.

Hi Martin

Whats it like for you at the minute, we topped 47mph about 30 minutes or so ago and ave’ is 29mph

Hi,

Well it hit here (Cork, Ireland) with avengence about midday today - my chimney mast (with a number of radio antennas & my anemometer) folded after a stay gave way - my Davis VP2 registered a gust of 75.7 knots just prior to the failure. Fortunately, the mast folded instead of actually breaking so no sensors were damaged. Water got into the wireless transmitter unit (via the cable entries at the bottom) after the mast had folded over a perfect 90 degrees, but a hairdryer sorted it out. I’ll have a full ‘post mortem’ of the event on my site tomorrow with pics (http://ei4hq.shacknet.nu/weather/), but if you look at the 24 hours graphs on the site before lunchtime tomorrow you’ll see the build up & the main event.

I’ve done a temporary repair but this latest ‘incident’ has really brought it home to me that I need to beef things up if I’ going to capture the ‘extreme’ weather events that seem to be happening more often these days… my goal is to have such a station for next season.

Regards to all & stay safe.
Cormac, Cork, Ireland.

wow, sorry to hear that, i sure would like to see the images when you get chance though

Was any structural damage done to the chimney, looking at the graphs it looks like it was bang
on 2pm when the damage occurred, i would have totally gutted, saying that, my mast aint overly
sturdy, its about 10m with 3 main guy lines but there not really suitable and when i can afford it
i will change to steel wires with an extra 3 (6 total) guys, with steel wire is quite a dear do, more
for the height i am need it for :frowning:

Sorry to hear about that. What is funny a week ago I had a dream that my wind mast came done in 70mph winds. I see you had 75.7 knot winds roughly about 87 mph. That is very strong winds. Hope things calm down and you get things going again.

Chuck

A friend in Cork has lost part of his roof this afternoon, no one was in the house at the time though.

It’s starting to pick up now, registered a gust of 68 knots a few minute ago and it’s regularly above 50 knots now.
Pressure is dropping at over 3mb per hour.
Generator is on stand-by as the power has flickered a few times already.
The local Police & Council advised all shops & pubs in Stornoway to close early and all the buses on the islands have been stopped.

wow, thats serious weather, mine is pitiful compare to yours lol
its looking like its dropping off for now here…

It sure is bashy. I converted it non metric and wow. The pressure is 28.31 inHg and the winds a very strong 78 mph high gust. Batten down the hatches. I would never see that here. I see 60 mph winds in the area unless we have a severe Tstorm or a very strong pressure gradient.

Chuck

Bashy et al,

Given what happened I could have been looking at serious/terminal damage to parts of my new VP2 (only 4 months old), so I’m thankful to be able to mark this one down as a ‘close call’. I’ll be taking steps to ensure it doesn’t happen again.

Yeah it was naff not to have a complete record of the event, but all things considered I’ll happily chalk it down to experience.

I should know better really - I was a professional mariner for 10 years - but I suppose we are too easily lulled into a false sense of security by generally average weather. We’re all after that uncommon event, but to capture it you need to have a well founded station - something I obviously didn’t have on this occasion…

I saw some tree damage and there was a lot of debris on the roads when I was out & about earlier today, so I’m not really surprised to read Martin’s (Budgie) report of roof damage in Cork - it was certainly on the cards…

Martin (Budgie) - from my experience of working up that part of the world (Sullom Voe, Lerwick etc.), you guys have a different definition for what constitutes bad weather :smiley: - stay safe & keep your head down…

Rgds
Cormac, Cork, Ireland.

You was very lucky then considering, our equipment can be expensive, more so when you dont have
the funds available to splash out on replacements… You live and learn, living being the operative word!!

I had a 70+ then a 87mph, sadly it was on console only, not in WD cause at the time it really started
getting hairy WD crashed and didnt restart, i was so gutted you wouldnt believe,I could have cried lol
i do have it still in the memory on the console though, but i am still reluctant to adding it into WD manually…

Sorry Chuck, I should have converted. :smiley:
You’re spot on with the gusts, and sustained winds of 60mph, pressure is now down to 957.9mb (28.28in) and falling at 2.5mb per hour (can’t convert that one :wink:).
Just had another gust to 65 knots as I was typing this but the wind keeps dropping back to 35 knots then… WHACK - 55 knots again.

Sometimes seems like the Met Office does to. Sometimes we have weather that would certainly warrant a ‘warning’ elsewhere, but here it goes by without comment…

Just 60mph gust, 40mph ave. here so far…

No problem Budgie. I just went to you live page and changed the readings. I thought having 53 mph winds where bad.

Chuck

Yes it’s a gusty one.
Last Sunday I had a lower top gust, but a higher top average (but this one hasn’t finished yet…).