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Author Topic: Harvey forecasting accuracy  (Read 650 times)

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Offline niko

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Harvey forecasting accuracy
« on: September 05, 2017, 02:20:26 PM »
Ars Technica article discussing how the various forecast models performed, once again the European model was the winner.

Offline bitsostring

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Re: Harvey forecasting accuracy
« Reply #1 on: September 05, 2017, 06:49:21 PM »
Wonder how it's doing for Irma. . .
It's meant to be fun. . .

Offline Harry

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Re: Harvey forecasting accuracy
« Reply #2 on: September 05, 2017, 09:27:21 PM »
The Euro model (red line) in figures 4 and 5 currently have Irma going up the west side of Florida.

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/category-5-irma-5th-strongest-atlantic-hurricane-record

 

Offline niko

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Re: Harvey forecasting accuracy
« Reply #3 on: September 05, 2017, 09:32:38 PM »
It's going to be a nasty one for the islands  :(

Offline niko

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Re: Harvey forecasting accuracy
« Reply #4 on: September 07, 2017, 11:02:05 PM »

Offline Harry

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Re: Harvey forecasting accuracy
« Reply #5 on: September 08, 2017, 12:18:44 AM »
For anyone that has interests in Florida, these links might be of help.

http://www.floridadisaster.org/index.asp
http://www.floridadisaster.org/info/

Offline niko

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Re: Harvey forecasting accuracy
« Reply #6 on: September 09, 2017, 02:05:51 PM »
Wonder how it's doing for Irma. . .

According to CNN this morning the ecmwf has forecast Irma's track better than gfs so far.

Offline bitsostring

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Re: Harvey forecasting accuracy
« Reply #7 on: September 09, 2017, 06:32:54 PM »
BBC/UK Met Office are showing Irma closer to Cuba than expected but now expecting it to turn north, pick up a bit more energy over the sea and run up the west side of Florida, not off the west coast as initially forecast. This means it should weaken faster. . . not a lot of consolation for those already affected or those about to be  :(

It's meant to be fun. . .

 

cumulus